CourtCruncher is an ATP tennis prediction model and betting system

The model is a sophisticated elo based model built/trained over all ATP and Challenger Tour matches from 2010-2024

Each day the model is used to generate the win probability for each player across all ATP and Challenger Tour matches for the following day which can be found on the Matches page

The betting system is a +EV system where a bet is placed on a player if the following conditions are met related to the model win probability's edge over the implied probability of the betting odds:

Edge is >= 10% and < 15% and odds are +500 American (6 decimal) or lower

Edge is >= 15% and < 20% and odds are +1000 American (11 decimal) or lower

Edge is >= 20% and < 25% at any odds

Edges >= 25% are excluded due to the high volatility of these bets

Current active bets can be found below and on the Bets page, but users are encouraged to leverage the model's win probabilities to identify edges against their own sportbook's odds